The formula
P(phenotype) = boxes with that phenotype ÷ total boxes
What it means
Mendel called an allele dominant when it shows up whenever it is present, and recessive when it only shows if the other one is missing. A heterozygote "Aa" shows the dominant trait and at the same time passes the recessive one to half its children: that is the unaffected carrier, the figure that matters in genetic counselling. The probabilities come from counting boxes in the Punnett square rather than from a separate formula, which is why the square is drawn here too.
How to work it out by hand
- Write down each parent's genotype, capital letter for the dominant allele
- Build the Punnett square by crossing both sets of gametes
- Count the boxes that show each trait
- Divide by the total number of boxes for the probability per child
What is worth knowing
The probability applies to each pregnancy, not to the family as a whole: two affected children do not use up the third one's quota. And carrier status only means one thing when a single gene is in play; with two genes the word stops referring to one trait, so a dash appears instead. This describes a monogenic trait with clean dominance or recessiveness; X-linked, mitochondrial and polygenic conditions follow other rules.